Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Tocantinópolis badgeTocantinópolisvsImperatriz badgeImperatriz

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.0%
Our model55.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tocantinópolis badge

Tocantinópolis

Attack48
Defence42
Form38
Imperatriz badge

Imperatriz

Attack54
Defence46
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model55.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Tocantinópolis (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tocantinópolis Win

Correct
Our model44.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.8%
The market11.2%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
8.95

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.8%

1-0

12.8%

1-1

11.1%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.