Serie D badgeSerie D · 6 June 2026AI PICK

Tocantinópolis badgeTocantinópolisvsOratório badgeOratório

7 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.1%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model58.1%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tocantinópolis badge

Tocantinópolis

Attack47
Defence36
Form33
Oratório badge

Oratório

Attack67
Defence29
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model58.1%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Tocantinópolis Win

Correct
Our model52.6%
The market67.6%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.48

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Tocantinópolis (DNB)

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model11.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.9%

1-1

10.3%

1-0

9.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.