J2/J3 League badgeJ2/J3 League · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Tochigi City badgeTochigi CityvsMontedio Yamagata badgeMontedio Yamagata

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Tochigi City Win

Match Winner · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +11.5%
Our model59.6%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tochigi City badge

Tochigi City

Attack47
Defence28
Form36
Montedio Yamagata badge

Montedio Yamagata

Attack36
Defence49
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Tochigi City Win

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market48.1%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Tochigi City (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model47.4%
The market59.2%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
1.69

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model16.3%
The market14.2%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
7.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3%

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.