J3 League badgeJ3 League · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Tochigi SC badgeTochigi SCvsKitakyushu badgeKitakyushu

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +1.3%
Our model59.4%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tochigi SC badge

Tochigi SC

Attack36
Defence54
Form30
Kitakyushu badge

Kitakyushu

Attack32
Defence43
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.1%
The market82.0%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Tochigi SC (DNB)

Void
Our model61.1%
The market65.8%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.52

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market58.1%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market53.2%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

Tochigi SC Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market51.5%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.94

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.6%
The market13.3%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.6%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

12.8%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.