Todesfeldevs
St. Pauli II
6 - 4Correct
Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 78.7%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +24.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
High confidenceEdge +24.6%
Our model78.7%
The market54.1%
The market underrated this by 24.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +24.6%Correct
Our model78.7%
The market54.1%
- Edge
- +24.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
St. Pauli II (DNB)
Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market52.6%
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.90
Match Winner
St. Pauli II Win
Miss
Our model43.3%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.