Derde Divisie - Sunday · 16 May 2026AI PICK
TOGBvs
Groene Ster
5 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.3%
- Market said
- 41.7%
- Edge
- +20.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.40
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectTOGB Win
Match Winner · best price 2.40
The market underrated this by 20.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
TOGB
Groene Ster
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.18
Match Winner
TOGB Win
- Edge
- +20.6
- Odds
- 2.40
Draw No Bet
TOGB (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 1.85
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.53
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.