KNVB Beker badgeKNVB Beker · 2 September 2026AI PICK

TOGB badgeTOGBvsKatwijk badgeKatwijk

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
35.6%
Edge
+23.0 pts
Best odds
2.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.81

MediumEdge +23.0%
Our model58.6%
The market35.6%

The market underrated this by 23.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

TOGB badge

TOGB

Attack17
Defence27
Form8
Katwijk badge

Katwijk

Attack33
Defence100
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model81.7%
The market90.1%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.11

Draw No Bet

Katwijk (DNB)

Miss
Our model70.2%
The market80.0%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.0%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market35.6%
Edge
+23.0
Odds
2.81

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +15.3%Miss
Our model53.3%
The market38.0%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
2.63

Match Winner

Katwijk Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market68.5%
Edge
-25.3
Odds
1.46

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model18.6%
The market21.4%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.6%

0-0

21.8%

1-1

13.7%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.