J1 League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Tokyo VerdyvsKawasaki Frontale

1 - 1

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 54.5%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +10.1 pts
Best odds: 2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +10.1%

Our model54.5%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tokyo Verdy

Attack50

Defence50

Form50

Kawasaki Frontale

Attack50

Defence50

Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +11.0%

Our model72.7%

The market61.7%

Edge: +11.0
Odds: 1.62

Draw No Bet

Tokyo Verdy (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Void

Our model60.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: +3.2
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.1%Close

Our model54.5%

The market44.4%

Edge: +10.1
Odds: 2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Correct

Our model53.6%

The market51.5%

Edge: +2.1
Odds: 1.95

Match Winner

Tokyo Verdy Win

Edge +13.7%Miss

Our model43.1%

The market29.4%

Edge: +13.7
Odds: 3.40

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.4%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7% · actual

1-0

8.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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