Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Toluca badgeTolucavsCF Pachuca badgeCF Pachuca

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.9%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model63.9%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Toluca badge

Toluca

Attack58
Defence69
Form53
CF Pachuca badge

CF Pachuca

Attack56
Defence64
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model63.9%
The market59.9%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Miss
Our model63.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Toluca (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Toluca Win

Miss
Our model46.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.