Tolucavs
Necaxa
3 - 1Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 55.2%
- Markets called
- 5 of 5 right
- Final score
- 3 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.48
MediumEdge -10.7%
Our model55.2%
The market65.9%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Toluca
Attack82
Defence48
Form49
Necaxa
Attack78
Defence70
Form89
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model74.8%
The market84.7%
- Edge
- -9.9
- Odds
- 1.18
Draw No Bet
Toluca (DNB)
Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model55.2%
The market65.9%
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.48
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model53.8%
The market62.1%
- Edge
- -8.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Toluca Win
Correct
Our model43.3%
The market66.7%
- Edge
- -23.4
- Odds
- 1.50
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.