Liga MX · 22 July 2026AI PICK
Tolucavs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.5%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +4.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.18
Draw No Bet
Toluca (DNB)
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.6
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
Toluca Win
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.30
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.6%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.