Serie D badgeSerie D · 14 June 2026AI PICK

Tombense badgeTombensevsVitória ES badgeVitória ES

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+24.4 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

High confidenceEdge +24.4%
Our model70.9%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 24.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tombense badge

Tombense

Attack70
Defence45
Form47
Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack81
Defence58
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.4%Miss
Our model70.9%
The market46.5%
Edge
+24.4
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.3%Miss
Our model67.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+17.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Tombense (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tombense Win

Miss
Our model44.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-1

7.6%

2-2

7.2%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.