Primeira Liga · 11 May 2026AI PICK
Tondelavs
Moreirense
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.5%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Tondela
Moreirense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Tondela (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Tondela Win
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.9%
1-0
16.9%
0-0
14.5%
We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.