Primeira Liga · 25 April 2026AI PICK
Tondelavs
Nacional
0 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.7%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +13.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 13.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Tondela
Nacional
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +10.1
- Odds
- 2.05
Draw No Bet
Tondela (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Tondela Win
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.