Torinovs
AC Milan
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 49.2%
- Edge
- +4.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 1.24
Draw No Bet
AC Milan (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.43
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +4.6
- Odds
- 1.95
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
AC Milan Win
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.21
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
12.1%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
12.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.