Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Toronto FC badgeToronto FCvsNashville SC badgeNashville SC

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.8%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+1.0 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +1.0%
Our model59.8%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Toronto FC badge

Toronto FC

Attack44
Defence43
Form29
Nashville SC badge

Nashville SC

Attack60
Defence92
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model58.1%
The market63.8%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Nashville SC (DNB)

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market56.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.76

Match Winner

Nashville SC Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market45.5%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.8%

2-1

7.2% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.