Toronto FCvs
Nashville SC
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.8%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +1.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Toronto FC
Nashville SC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
Nashville SC (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.76
Match Winner
Nashville SC Win
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.58
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
7.2% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.