Toronto FCvs
Philadelphia Union
3 - 3Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.4%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +18.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 18.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +18.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Toronto FC Win
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Toronto FC (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.