Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Toronto FC badgeToronto FCvsPhiladelphia Union badgePhiladelphia Union

3 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+18.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +18.3%
Our model72.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 18.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Toronto FC badge

Toronto FC

Attack56
Defence54
Form56
Philadelphia Union badge

Philadelphia Union

Attack59
Defence61
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.3%Correct
Our model72.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+18.3
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model68.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Toronto FC Win

Edge +1.4%Miss
Our model51.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Toronto FC (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.