First League badgeFirst League · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Torpedo Moskva badgeTorpedo MoskvavsSpartak Kostroma badgeSpartak Kostroma

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
44.1%
Edge
+14.3 pts
Best odds
2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.21

MediumEdge +14.3%
Our model58.4%
The market44.1%

The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Torpedo Moskva badge

Torpedo Moskva

Attack72
Defence80
Form69
Spartak Kostroma badge

Spartak Kostroma

Attack70
Defence77
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model78.7%
The market75.8%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Torpedo Moskva (DNB)

Correct
Our model59.8%
The market72.5%
Edge
-12.7
Odds
1.38

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.3%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market44.1%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
2.21

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market51.2%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.86

Match Winner

Torpedo Moskva Win

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model47.1%
The market42.7%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.