First League badgeFirst League · 19 July 2026AI PICK

Torpedo Moskva badgeTorpedo MoskvavsVolga Ulyanovsk badgeVolga Ulyanovsk

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
48.6%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.98

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model57.7%
The market48.6%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Torpedo Moskva badge

Torpedo Moskva

Attack62
Defence100
Form86
Volga Ulyanovsk badge

Volga Ulyanovsk

Attack41
Defence61
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market84.7%
Edge
-10.5
Odds
1.18

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market48.6%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.98

Draw No Bet

Torpedo Moskva (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.3%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market45.1%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Torpedo Moskva Win

Correct
Our model40.0%
The market56.5%
Edge
-16.5
Odds
1.77

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

9.8%

2-0

7.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.