Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 20 May 2026AI PICK

Torreense badgeTorreensevsCasa Pia badgeCasa Pia

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.8%
Market said
41.7%
Edge
+27.1 pts
Best odds
2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Torreense Win

Match Winner · best price 2.40

MediumEdge +27.1%
Our model68.8%
The market41.7%

The market underrated this by 27.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Torreense badge

Torreense

Attack60
Defence100
Form73
Casa Pia badge

Casa Pia

Attack27
Defence53
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Torreense Win

Edge +27.1%Miss
Our model68.8%
The market41.7%
Edge
+27.1
Odds
2.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Torreense (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Void
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model46.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model16.3%
The market14.2%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
7.04

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3%

2-0

13.3%

2-1

9.3%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.