Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 3 September 2026AI PICK

Toulouse badgeToulousevsLille badgeLille

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model58.6%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Toulouse badge

Toulouse

Attack40
Defence47
Form33
Lille badge

Lille

Attack81
Defence52
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model77.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.27

Draw No Bet

Lille (DNB)

Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model69.2%
The market67.6%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.48

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market56.2%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Lille Win

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market49.8%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
2.01

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

8.8%

1-3

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.