Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Toulouse badgeToulousevsLyon badgeLyon

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.3%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +1.2%
Our model58.3%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Toulouse badge

Toulouse

Attack40
Defence38
Form33
Lyon badge

Lyon

Attack50
Defence59
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model58.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Toulouse (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Toulouse Win

Our model35.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.2%

1-0

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.