Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Toulouse badgeToulousevsLyon badgeLyon

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
54.9%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model58.4%
The market54.9%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model78.5%
The market75.2%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Close
Our model58.4%
The market54.9%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market60.0%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Toulouse (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Toulouse Win

Miss
Our model39.3%
The market42.6%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
2.35

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

6.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.