Serie D - Girone G badgeSerie D - Girone G · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Trastevere badgeTrasteverevsMonastir badgeMonastir

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+18.0 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +18.0%
Our model70.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 18.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Trastevere badge

Trastevere

Attack75
Defence50
Form58
Monastir badge

Monastir

Attack56
Defence55
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.0%Miss
Our model70.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.1%Miss
Our model66.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Trastevere Win

Edge +9.5%Miss
Our model59.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Trastevere (DNB)

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.0%
The market7.8%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

6.9%

2-2

6.7%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.