UEFA Champions League · 7 July 2026AI PICK

Tre FiorivsLarne

0 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.1%
Market said: 42.6%
Edge: +10.5 pts
Best odds: 2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

LowEdge +10.5%

Our model53.1%

The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tre Fiori

Attack50

Defence50

Form50

Larne

Attack33

Defence100

Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +33.1%

Our model71.6%

The market38.5%

Edge: +33.1
Odds: 2.60

Draw No Bet

Tre Fiori (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Miss

Our model59.8%

The market57.1%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Correct

Our model53.1%

The market42.6%

Edge: +10.5
Odds: 2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Miss

Our model52.0%

The market47.6%

Edge: +4.4
Odds: 2.10

Match Winner

Tre Fiori Win

Edge +25.1%Miss

Our model41.1%

The market16.0%

Edge: +25.1
Odds: 6.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss

Our model10.7%

The market12.3%

Edge: -1.6
Odds: 8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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