First Division badgeFirst Division · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Treaty United badgeTreaty UnitedvsWexford badgeWexford

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
50.2%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model61.2%
The market50.2%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Treaty United badge

Treaty United

Attack36
Defence41
Form33
Wexford badge

Wexford

Attack32
Defence38
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model74.9%
The market70.9%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.41

Draw No Bet

Treaty United (DNB)

Edge +13.0%Miss
Our model63.3%
The market50.3%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.99

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market50.2%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
1.86

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market45.9%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.07

Match Winner

Treaty United Win

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model43.2%
The market40.3%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.48

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.1%

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.1%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.