Serie D badgeSerie D · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Trem badgeTremvsOratório badgeOratório

4 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.1%
Market said
56.8%
Edge
+15.3 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.76

High confidenceEdge +15.3%
Our model72.1%
The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 15.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Trem badge

Trem

Attack92
Defence36
Form57
Oratório badge

Oratório

Attack67
Defence31
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.3%Correct
Our model72.1%
The market56.8%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
1.76

Match Winner

Trem Win

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market64.9%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.54

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.4%Correct
Our model66.6%
The market55.2%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
1.81

Draw No Bet

Trem (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.9%
The market7.7%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

3-1

6.8%

2-2

6.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.