Serie D badgeSerie D · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Treze badgeTrezevsSerra Branca badgeSerra Branca

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model62.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Treze badge

Treze

Attack74
Defence42
Form50
Serra Branca badge

Serra Branca

Attack56
Defence50
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model62.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Close
Our model61.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Treze Win

Edge +10.6%Miss
Our model60.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Treze (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.