Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Trofense badgeTrofensevsSão João Ver badgeSão João Ver

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
81.3%
Market said
59.2%
Edge
+22.1 pts
Best odds
1.69

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.69

High confidenceEdge +22.1%
Our model81.3%
The market59.2%

The market underrated this by 22.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Trofense badge

Trofense

Attack17
Defence37
Form11
São João Ver badge

São João Ver

Attack41
Defence40
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +22.1%Correct
Our model81.3%
The market59.2%
Edge
+22.1
Odds
1.69

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model67.5%
The market73.5%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model60.0%
The market67.6%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

São João Ver (DNB)

Edge +7.9%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market51.8%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.93

Match Winner

Draw

Miss
Our model33.8%
The market33.9%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
2.95

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model31.4%
The market36.1%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
2.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

31.4%

0-1

22.8%

1-1

10.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.