Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Trofense badgeTrofensevsVarzim badgeVarzim

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
39.3%
Edge
+15.2 pts
Best odds
2.46

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.46

LowEdge +15.2%
Our model54.5%
The market39.3%

The market underrated this by 15.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Trofense badge

Trofense

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Varzim badge

Varzim

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.7%
The market75.2%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Trofense (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.2%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market39.3%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
2.46

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market48.6%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.01

Match Winner

Trofense Win

Edge +3.3%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market39.8%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
2.51

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.