Eliteserien badgeEliteserien · 11 July 2026AI PICK

Tromso badgeTromsovsValerenga badgeValerenga

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.0%
Market said
57.7%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +0.3%
Our model58.0%
The market57.7%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Tromso badge

Tromso

Attack52
Defence74
Form69
Valerenga badge

Valerenga

Attack48
Defence46
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Tromso (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market57.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model55.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.73

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model50.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
-34.7
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Tromso Win

Correct
Our model41.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
-17.7
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

1-2

7.5%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.