Prva Liga badgePrva Liga · 30 August 2026AI PICK

TSC Backa Topola badgeTSC Backa TopolavsSemendrija 1924 badgeSemendrija 1924

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +12.5%
Our model61.3%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

TSC Backa Topola badge

TSC Backa Topola

Attack64
Defence44
Form46
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Semendrija 1924

Attack61
Defence61
Form63

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model76.1%
The market80.6%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Close
Our model61.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

TSC Backa Topola (DNB)

Void
Our model56.8%
The market65.8%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.52

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model53.9%
The market53.5%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

TSC Backa Topola Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market52.4%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

10.0% · actual

1-2

7.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.