Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 30 August 2026AI PICK

TSV Hartberg badgeTSV HartbergvsRied badgeRied

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+8.7 pts
Best odds
1.93

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.93

MediumEdge +8.7%
Our model58.2%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 8.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

TSV Hartberg badge

TSV Hartberg

Attack70
Defence67
Form60
Ried badge

Ried

Attack70
Defence41
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model78.8%
The market78.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market49.5%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.93

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market56.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.71

Draw No Bet

Ried (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market54.9%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Ried Win

Miss
Our model40.2%
The market42.7%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
2.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.