Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 10 May 2026AI PICK

TSV Hartberg badgeTSV HartbergvsSturm Graz badgeSturm Graz

2 - 4
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+17.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +17.5%
Our model67.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

TSV Hartberg badge

TSV Hartberg

Attack33
Defence62
Form38
Sturm Graz badge

Sturm Graz

Attack51
Defence94
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.5%Miss
Our model67.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.9%
The market58.8%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

TSV Hartberg (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

TSV Hartberg Win

Our model30.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-19.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model14.6%
The market12.7%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
7.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.6%

1-0

11.0%

1-1

10.8%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.