Serie D badgeSerie D · 21 June 2026AI PICK

Tuna Luso badgeTuna LusovsIguatu badgeIguatu

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.2%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +5.6%
Our model60.2%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tuna Luso badge

Tuna Luso

Attack61
Defence30
Form38
Iguatu badge

Iguatu

Attack57
Defence67
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market54.6%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Tuna Luso (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Tuna Luso Win

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model48.9%
The market40.0%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.5%
The market9.1%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.93

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.5%

1-1

9.7%

2-1

9.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.