Serie D badgeSerie D · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Tuna Luso badgeTuna LusovsTocantinópolis badgeTocantinópolis

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Tuna Luso Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

LowEdge +4.1%
Our model54.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Tuna Luso badge

Tuna Luso

Attack47
Defence42
Form43
Tocantinópolis badge

Tocantinópolis

Attack44
Defence45
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

Tuna Luso Win

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model54.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Tuna Luso (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model47.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.3%
The market13.3%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.3%

0-1

13.1%

1-1

11.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.