Veikkausliiga badgeVeikkausliiga · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Turku PS badgeTurku PSvsMariehamn badgeMariehamn

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
44.1%
Edge
+29.0 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

High confidenceEdge +29.0%
Our model73.1%
The market44.1%

The market underrated this by 29.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Turku PS badge

Turku PS

Attack43
Defence55
Form38
Mariehamn badge

Mariehamn

Attack23
Defence33
Form13

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.8%
The market87.7%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +29.0%Close
Our model73.1%
The market44.1%
Edge
+29.0
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Turku PS (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model57.2%
The market48.0%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Turku PS Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-17.2
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.3%

0-0

18.1%

1-1

13.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.