Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Twente badgeTwentevsSparta Rotterdam badgeSparta Rotterdam

4 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+15.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Twente Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +15.6%
Our model65.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 15.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Twente badge

Twente

Attack61
Defence86
Form69
Sparta Rotterdam badge

Sparta Rotterdam

Attack40
Defence46
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Twente Win

Edge +15.6%Correct
Our model65.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model65.4%
The market71.4%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market61.7%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Twente (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.4%

1-1

7.7%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.