Primera División badgePrimera División · 26 July 2026AI PICK

U. Catolica badgeU. CatolicavsD. La Serena badgeD. La Serena

3 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
59.8%
Edge
+9.6 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +9.6%
Our model69.4%
The market59.8%

The market underrated this by 9.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

U. Catolica badge

U. Catolica

Attack82
Defence75
Form78
D. La Serena badge

D. La Serena

Attack48
Defence30
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market87.7%
Edge
-12.4
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

U. Catolica (DNB)

Edge +13.7%Void
Our model70.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market59.8%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

U. Catolica Win

Miss
Our model63.0%
The market67.6%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.48

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market55.4%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

8.3%

3-1

7.7%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.