Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 23 May 2026AI PICK

U. San Martin badgeU. San MartinvsUnion Comercio badgeUnion Comercio

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.0%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+13.4 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

High confidenceEdge +13.4%
Our model74.0%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 13.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

U. San Martin badge

U. San Martin

Attack52
Defence39
Form33
Union Comercio badge

Union Comercio

Attack52
Defence100
Form61

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.4%Correct
Our model74.0%
The market60.6%
Edge
+13.4
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

U. San Martin (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model46.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

U. San Martin Win

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model41.7%
The market39.2%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.5%

0-1

14.3% · actual

1-1

11.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.