Serie D badgeSerie D · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Uberlandia badgeUberlandiavsPortuguesa badgePortuguesa

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+7.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +7.7%
Our model57.7%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Uberlandia badge

Uberlandia

Attack60
Defence59
Form58
Portuguesa badge

Portuguesa

Attack65
Defence80
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market75.2%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.7%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Uberlandia (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.2%Close
Our model55.8%
The market42.6%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
2.35

Match Winner

Uberlandia Win

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model39.9%
The market38.5%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
2.60

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

12.7%

1-2

8.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.