First Division · 15 May 2026AI PICK

UCDvsBray Wanderers

3 - 4

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 63.2%
Market said: 58.5%
Edge: +4.7 pts
Best odds: 1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +4.7%

Our model63.2%

The market58.5%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

UCD

Attack66

Defence73

Form60

Bray Wanderers

Attack63

Defence46

Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market78.7%

Edge: +6.3
Odds: 1.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.7%Correct

Our model63.2%

The market58.5%

Edge: +4.7
Odds: 1.71

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Correct

Our model61.7%

The market52.1%

Edge: +9.6
Odds: 1.92

Match Winner

UCD Win

Edge +11.9%Miss

Our model58.4%

The market46.5%

Edge: +11.9
Odds: 2.15

Draw No Bet

UCD (DNB)

Miss

Our model52.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -5.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%

Our model8.8%

The market7.7%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 13.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.8%

2-1

8.8%

1-0

8.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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