Primera División badgePrimera División · 30 August 2026AI PICK

UCV Moquegua badgeUCV MoqueguavsAlianza Atletico badgeAlianza Atletico

1 - 4

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
50.6%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.90

LowEdge +3.4%
Our model54.0%
The market50.6%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

UCV Moquegua badge

UCV Moquegua

Attack35
Defence67
Form38
Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack53
Defence49
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.8%
Our model76.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.4%
Our model54.0%
The market50.6%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market56.3%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

UCV Moquegua (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

UCV Moquegua Win

Miss
Our model39.9%
The market41.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
2.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.