Primera División badgePrimera División · 2 August 2026AI PICK

UCV Moquegua badgeUCV MoqueguavsFBC Melgar badgeFBC Melgar

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.2%
Market said
53.0%
Edge
+4.2 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +4.2%
Our model57.2%
The market53.0%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

UCV Moquegua badge

UCV Moquegua

Attack46
Defence58
Form41
FBC Melgar badge

FBC Melgar

Attack63
Defence62
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model74.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market53.0%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

FBC Melgar (DNB)

Void
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market47.5%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

FBC Melgar Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market46.5%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

12.5%

0-2

7.2%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.