Primera División badgePrimera División · 12 May 2026AI PICK

UCV badgeUCVvsDeportivo La Guaira badgeDeportivo La Guaira

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

UCV Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.3%
Our model55.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

UCV badge

UCV

Attack61
Defence36
Form47
Deportivo La Guaira badge

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack35
Defence86
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

UCV (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Void
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

UCV Win

Edge +5.3%Miss
Our model55.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model50.4%
The market52.4%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model14.3%
The market12.5%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.3%

2-0

10.7%

1-1

9.7% · actual

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.