Primera División · 30 May 2026AI PICK

UCVvsPortuguesa FC

2 - 3

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 59.3%
Market said: 55.6%
Edge: +3.7 pts
Best odds: 1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.7%

Our model59.3%

The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

UCV

Attack49

Defence34

Form36

Portuguesa FC

Attack62

Defence62

Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market75.2%

Edge: +9.8
Odds: 1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct

Our model59.3%

The market55.6%

Edge: +3.7
Odds: 1.80

Match Winner

UCV Win

Edge +7.2%Miss

Our model53.7%

The market46.5%

Edge: +7.2
Odds: 2.15

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Correct

Our model52.9%

The market48.8%

Edge: +4.1
Odds: 2.05

Draw No Bet

UCV (DNB)

Miss

Our model47.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -10.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%

Our model10.9%

The market9.5%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.9%

1-1

10.1%

1-0

9.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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