CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 22 July 2026AI PICK

UCV badgeUCVvsSantos badgeSantos

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
50.2%
Edge
+7.5 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +7.5%
Our model57.7%
The market50.2%

The market underrated this by 7.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

UCV badge

UCV

Attack52
Defence32
Form36
Santos badge

Santos

Attack71
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.5%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market50.2%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market46.2%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Santos Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.2%

1-1

13.0%

2-1

7.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.