Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 12 April 2026AI PICK

UD da Serra badgeUD da SerravsPeniche badgePeniche

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

UD da Serra Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model57.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Double chance : UD da Serra or draw

How the two sides compared

UD da Serra badge

UD da Serra

Attack31
Defence77
Form67
Peniche badge

Peniche

Attack54
Defence0
Form20

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model70.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

UD da Serra Win

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model57.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

UD da Serra (DNB)

Correct
Our model35.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-22.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.