Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 31 August 2026AI PICK

UD Logroñés badgeUD LogroñésvsExtremadura 1924 badgeExtremadura 1924

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
44.2%
Edge
+15.5 pts
Best odds
2.26

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

UD Logroñés Win

Match Winner · best price 2.26

MediumEdge +15.5%
Our model59.7%
The market44.2%

The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +6.0%Correct
Our model82.3%
The market76.3%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

UD Logroñés (DNB)

Edge +20.7%Correct
Our model77.2%
The market56.5%
Edge
+20.7
Odds
1.77

Match Winner

UD Logroñés Win

Edge +15.5%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market44.2%
Edge
+15.5
Odds
2.26

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market56.5%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.77

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.8%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.8% · actual

3-1

8.2%

2-0

7.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.