Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 29 August 2026AI PICK
UD Ourensevs
Ponferradina
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 47.4%
- Edge
- +6.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.11
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.11
The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
UD Ourense (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 2.11
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
UD Ourense Win
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 2.54
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.33
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.4%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.